Savi & Phool's Cubimal Ratings Agency
By using data on the results of opening cubimal boxes, the S&P Agency has determined the approximate odds of opening a cubimal and have established a corresponding S&P Rating.
For more in depth information, visit my spreadsheet at:
docs.google.com/spreadsheet...
The spreadsheet contains supplemental info including percentages, totals, charts, timelines, and all of my submission data.
The following data is based on a sample size of 5963 cubimals.
D Grade Cubimals (projected odds 16.6%)
Chick - 17.16% - D
Piggy - 16.64% - D
Butterfly - 15.71% - D
C Grade Cubimals (projected odds 8%)
Batterfly - 8.30% - C
Frog - 8.20% - C
Crab - 7.98% - C
Firefly - 7.97% - C
B Grade Cubimals (projected odds BB: 2%, BBB 1.25%)
Bureaucrat - 2.20% - BB
Juju - 2.06% - BB
Sno Cone Vendor - 1.98% - BB
Cactus - 1.90% - BB
Squid - 1.90% - BB
Greeterbot - 1.39% - BBB
Smuggler - 1.24% - BBB
Deimaginator - 1.22% - BBB
Dust Bunny - 1.06% - BBB
A Grade Cubimals (less than 1%)
Gwendolyn - 0.67% - A
Magic Rock - 0.54% - A
Uncle Friendly - 0.52% - AA
Helga - 0.45% - AA
Yeti - 0.45% - AA
Rube - 0.32% - AAA
Rook - 0.15% - AAA
If you're confused by the ratings system, it's relatively simple. A-grade cubimals are the best, and D-grade cubimals are the worst. Within a grade, a triple-letter rating is the best of that grade, single-letter is the worst. A Grade and B Grade cubimals are considered investment grade cubimals. All cubimals below B Grade are considered junk cubimals and hold little to no value. You should expect the ratings of investment grade cubimals to slightly shift as we collect more data.
A couple noteworthy statistics:
You have an 81.96% chance of opening a junk cubimal (49.51% D, 32.45% C)
You have a 14.94% chance of opening a B Grade cubimal
You have a 3.10% chance of opening an A Grade cubimal
About Savi & Phool's Cubimal Rating Agency
This thread is an offshoot of another thread about the odds of opening a particular cubimal (for science!) from an unopened box. We are currently using a lot of their data, but we hope to receive submissions in this thread following our guidelines so we can give you the best cubimal rarity and value information possible. As we receive new data, we will update the odds and ratings in the original post.
Our assumptions:
We are operating under the assumption that vendor location or source (vendor, Rube, wheel) does not affect the odds. We are only interested in the total counts of cubimals you have personally opened.
Submission guidelines:
25 cubimal minimum sample size.
Only include data on cubimals you personally opened.
Do not submit data from any pre-launch period.
Do not exclude C & D Grade cubimals from your counts, the data is only useful if you submit EVERY cubimal you opened, whether it is rare or common.
As a reminder, we don't need info split up by location or source.
When you submit updates, post a new reply with your additions. However, if you only keep track of your total please specify so that your earlier posts aren't double counted.
Our goal:
We hope to reach a sample size of 5000+ cubimals using high quality data from 15+ high quality sources, as this should be enough to firmly establish a cubimal's rarity. We hope this information will help cubimal traders complete their sets by knowing the fair value of their excess inventory. We aren't interested in establishing a dollar value for cubimals (though this data will be helpful for those who are), but we are interested in creating the most accurate set of cubimal odds and ratings possible.
I hope people will find this thread useful. For those who have submitted their information to the other thread, we would appreciate a submission of your most recent data. And if you're remotely interested in this and haven't been keeping track, please start doing so. Every set of data helps.