Topic

Compulsive Gambler's Guide to the New Housing

Based on my shoddy mathematical calculations, Stoot gave us a rough estimate of March 7th for the new housing update. Now, many among us are quick to yell "That's just another variation of 'soon'! I bet it won't be here until May!". 

That may be right for all I know. It isn't here yet. 

My suggestion for how some of us old farts with extra cash and very easily entertained minds spend a few minutes is betting! Let's bet on when the housing update comes live! Each wager will cost 5k. A wager buys you exactly one date on the real life calendar year. Feel free to purchase multiple dates, but do try to keep it to a reasonable number. I won't take more than five bids from a single glitch :P It's similar to a lottery, except the RNG is Tiny Speck itself! Isn't that fun?!

The player(s) who guess correctly will receive the total of all the money in the pot. No special percentages to me for running the show :P The whole pot. If we have more than one winner it shall be an even split. Or as close to even as we can come :)

The event is mostly transparent as there is absolutely no way for me to lie about what date the update really occurs on ;) Also, I've been here for months and I've no real motive to keep all of your money and completely and publicly ruin my reputation. So, if you trust me post your date here and send me your 5k! I promise I won't steal it, and will keep careful track of how much I have. 

Please post your guess and whether or not you've paid on this post :) Also, be sure to edit your post when you DO pay :P If I don't get your currants by the 14th your wager will be considered null! So don't forget to pay!

Paying is best done through either an ingame trade, or mail :P Whichever you prefer.

(The pot will can now be found on the support site Glitchium. Including myself the pot is now at a whopping 500,000 currants! Want to get in on that? Make a wager!)

Edit: I'd like to thank everyone who's sent money so far! Your faith is refreshing :) I don't want to clog the post with my own drivel and thanks so I'm just editing the original :) It'll be easier to keep track of who picked what when I need to award prize money :)

Edit2: At the suggestion of Palindrome I added a five wager per person limit. No one's tried to be a jerk and buy every date on the calendar to guarantee a win, but as I was told it is possible :)

Edit3: Based primarily on suggestions from Hawkwell, I have updated the protocol for winning and dates of entry etc. If no one picks the correct date, the one who picked closest will get the pot. If the date is the 16th of a month and we have one guess for the 14th and one for the 18th the pot will be split. 

Second, no wagers will be accepted after February the Fourteenth. 

Finally, there is absolutely no restriction on dates you can wager on. Feel free to bet on October 2011, though I wouldn't recommend it.

Edit4: Funfact, there are now wagers for every single day in March.

Edit5: The support site for the auction, as well as many other awesome things, Glitchium now has this resource for keeping track of everything. Let me know if anything is incorrect for anyone :) Also let me know if you're missing~

Posted 11 months ago by Liza Throttlebottom Subscriber! | Permalink

Replies

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  • Sure - sounds fun. I'll say March 9!
    I've sent you an in-game mail with moneys :)

    As Liza haven't restricted how many can bet on the same date - I think it's a split-even if there is more on the same date. I have entered contestants in the order their wager was posted - I have NOT differed between paid/un-paid.
    If you want to be unique at the time of your wager - I have compiled this list as of 1. feb 3.10pm GMT - I'll update
    Updated 2. Feb 2.45pm GMT
    Updated 3. Feb 12.35om GMT


    February
    14 - Silky

    19 - Silky
    29 - Beach Bum

    March
    2 - Palindrome

    5 - The Cat Face
    6 - Bruja
    7 - Miss Buckets / Mal'akh / Amber / justpeace
    8 - PANsy / Verea
    9 - Hen Vla Ham / The Cat Face
    10 - Airya
    11 - Green Meanie
    12 - Verea
    13 - WebWever / Amber
    14 - Melody Pond
    15 - Pinkkea / bee09
    16 - Liza Throttlebottom / Miss Buckets
    17 - Eleanor / Mal'akh
    18 - Pii
    19 - ennuienta
    20 - Poney Tails
    21 - Ooola
    22 - Becca Rice / justpeace
    23 - Mysterious Hermit
    24 - 2020smoke
    25 - BooAnCoo
    26 - daniel5457
    27 - Palindrome
    28 - daniel5457
    29 - Beach Bum / daniel5457
    30 - bee09 / Snazzlefrazz
    31 - Green Meanie

    April
    1 - Eleanor / Hawkwell
    2 - Mysterious Hermit
    3 - Pii
    4 - Palindrome
    5 - ghost777

    9 - Arietty
    10
    11 - bee09
    12 - Silky
    18 - Cantaloupe

    29 - Beach Bum
    30 - bee09 / Snazzlefrazz

    May
    19 - Silky

    August
    27 - Silky
    Posted 11 months ago by Hen vla Ham Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Beware the Ides of March -10 = March 5th.

    Paid!
    Posted 11 months ago by The Cat Face Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Ha fun March 13, and paid :D
    Posted 11 months ago by WeavingTheWeb Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Bought and paid for March 20, currents rushing to you via froggies.
    Posted 11 months ago by Poney Tails Subscriber! | Permalink
  • The actual Ides of March - March 15th. Sending you $ right now.
    Posted 11 months ago by Sororia Rose Subscriber! | Permalink
  • March 2nd, my birthday.
    March 27th, just because.
    April 4th, another birthday.

    Paid.
    Posted 11 months ago by Palindrome Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Ooh, I claim Pi Day! (March 14th.)

    Paid.
    Posted 11 months ago by Melody Pond Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Put me down for March 21st, the Spring Equinox

    edit *PAID*
    Posted 11 months ago by Ooola Subscriber! | Permalink
  • 3-6-12. Paid.
    Posted 11 months ago by N2ZOrtolanaBlue Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I'll take St. Patrick's Day (March 17) and April Fool's Day (April 1). :) I'll send my 10k over asap!
    Posted 11 months ago by Eleanor Subscriber! | Permalink
  • March 8th - Paid
    :)
    Posted 11 months ago by PANsy Subscriber! | Permalink
  • March 19th, because 19 is my favorite number. :)  Paid!
    Posted 11 months ago by ennuienta Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I'll take March 7th, then, as a vote of confidence! You're welcome, stoot.

    However, for funsies, I'm also going to grab March 16th. XD

    Paid!
    Posted 11 months ago by Abby Cadabra Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I'll take 3/11 and 3/31 b/c 311 and 331 are prime numbers.

    EDIT:  Paid!
    Posted 11 months ago by Green Meanie Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I will take March 24th :) Paid
    Posted 11 months ago by 2020smoke Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Here are the dates I've chosen...     paid :)
    March 15   March 30
    April 11      April 30

    Thank you.
    Posted 11 months ago by bee09 Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Just to confirm, it will be the date on the west coast USA not the date in London or Sydney at the moment of launch right?
    Posted 11 months ago by Awesomasaurus Subscriber! | Permalink
  • 50 clams for, NEVER
    Posted 11 months ago by Volkov Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Good question Awesomeasaurus.
    I would guess PST, EST, or UST. Probably EST.

    Just something to think about, Liza:
    What if some super rich person bought out every single date? They win, get all their money back plus more. Of course, they have a chance of trying, but once tons of people buy, they'll probably still profit.
    EDIT: Whoops. You already edited. Guess Tom already told ya xD
    Posted 11 months ago by Palindrome Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I'll use PST simply because that is where TS actually is located, generally speaking :) Though, Pali is right, I am an EST resident :)
    Posted 11 months ago by Liza Throttlebottom Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Hi I'll take March 25 - paid
    Posted 11 months ago by BooAnCoo Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I'll put my money on March 7 and March 17.

    PAID
    Posted 11 months ago by Mal'akh Subscriber! | Permalink
  • @Bee: I already took the Ides!
    Posted 11 months ago by Sororia Rose Subscriber! | Permalink
  • What if it doesn't come in March? What if it comes in April? Or late February? (Oh, I guess we can also vote on dates that are not in March. :) 

    What if no one guesses the correct date? Who gets the prize money? Should there be a google spreadsheet to track the dates voted on?
    Posted 11 months ago by roderick ordonez Subscriber! | Permalink
  • There needs to be a cut-off date for paying up.  Otherwise, an unscrupulous Glitch could just wager with an IOU, pay up if it wins, and never pay up if it loses.  :x
    Posted 11 months ago by Bellpepper Subscriber! | Permalink
  • what a great idea - my guess is April 9th - my birthday and Easter Monday too...

    Liza will send you the $5k next time am in-game

    Edit: - Just sent you the $5K through the post Liza : )
    Posted 11 months ago by Arietty Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I'll say April 2nd and March 23rd. - Paid
    Posted 11 months ago by Mysterious Hermit Subscriber! | Permalink
  • April 1 - a day any fool would pick!  Not to mention the fact that it's Mrs. Hawkwell's birthday.  Paid!
    Posted 11 months ago by Hawkwell Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Questions and Suggestions:

    1) What happens if the day is one nobody picked?  I suggest the winner(s) be whoever picked the closest day and that 1 day before and 1 day after (etc.) would be equal.
    2) I suggest that no bets be accepted after 29 February.  As we move through March, if it hasn't happened yet new bets would have an unfair advantage.
    3) So far, all bets have been in March and April.  I suggest that bets be restricted to being for no later than 30 April and that if it hasn't happened by the end of April then everyone who has entered gets to pick a new date for each of their entries.

    Note to everyone who reads this:

    Liza can decide for herself if she wants to use any of my suggestions,  (It's fine with me if she ignores them all.)  Please don't make her job harder by clogging up this thread with endless comments on and criticisms of what I have suggested!!!! Thanks!

    P.S.  Thanks, Liza.  A great contest!
    Posted 11 months ago by Hawkwell Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I'll take Feb 14, Feb 19, April 12, May 19th, and August 27.  :)  You don't have to guess why, do you?

    (And yes, I know that 3 of those dates aren't practical, but I'm not really expecting to win anyway.)

    Paid.
    Posted 11 months ago by So sorry Subscriber! | Permalink
  • March 18 and April 3 for me! Will send payment today!
    Posted 11 months ago by Pii Subscriber! | Permalink
  • March 8th and 12th, please :) Paid.
    Posted 11 months ago by Verea Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Question: what if the reworking of the game is so extensive (we have gotten a few hints) that currants, or the 'currant amounts' being tossed around here become meaningless?  Currants might not even be the same thing after the update.
    Posted 11 months ago by Kalstept Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Well Kalstept, then it won't really matter will it? :D
    Posted 11 months ago by Hen vla Ham Subscriber! | Permalink
  • @Kalstept Well, I'd have to say that I disagree with the assertion that currants will become 'meaningless', in fact Stoot said the exact opposite :P He said something that suggested that the game would need a currency and imagination would not be THE currency but an abstract concept more closely related to experience. Of course, that's just what I got from his words :P Of course, you got something different, which means we're probably both wrong ;)

    So, like Hen said, it won't really matter if you're right now will it ;)? I'm very rich and only slightly stingy, so I'll compensate the winner in some other form, as close to the value of the pot as I can if currants do somehow vanish. I will again say that I think it unlikely, however.

    (This is getting long... xD)

    @Hawkwell All valid points! We'll start with number one. Yes that sounds like the exact policy and protocol I will use. Will update the post. 

    As for number two, yes I was thinking of that exact cut off as a matter of fact! But I think I will actually go with the earliest date that has been chosen so far, February 14th, since that's ample time anyway, and I don't want Silky to be disadvantaged in any way. Again, will update the post :)

    Number three I actually was thinking in a totally different direction. This contest is by nature more dangerous than a lotto, as we don't actually even have set confines. So feel free to bet on any date, it is up to you to come up with the most feasible time. There will be no restriction on date chosen :)

    @Bellpepper Fair enough :P If you don't pay by the date of the cutoff for entry, your wager will be considered null.
    Posted 11 months ago by Liza Throttlebottom Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I think I need to get in on this...and since we can do multiple dates...I'll take the following 3:
    29 Feb (even though I seriously doubt it will be this early, but we only get this day once every 4 years, so how cool is that?)
    29 Mar (more likely, but I still think probably a bit too early)
    29 Apr (most likely, given TS's track record of usually being later than they estimate, which is not untypical in the dev world)

    Of course this means it likely won't happen until 29 May...but I'll wait to see before I go for a 4th option...

    ETA: Paid - 15K currants, via mail
    Posted 11 months ago by ~Pink Flamingo~ Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I will bet on Mar 7 and Mar 13, paid :)
    Posted 11 months ago by Amber Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Okay here comes the Compulsive part....Adding March 9th.

    Paid via GIGPDS.
    Posted 11 months ago by The Cat Face Subscriber! | Permalink
  • April 5th will send pay in mail hon.
    Posted 10 months ago by Jellybelly Baby Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I'll take March 22nd!

    Edit: All paid up!
    Posted 10 months ago by Tribeca Subscriber! | Permalink
  • March 26th, 28th and 29th. Will pay soon. :)
    Posted 10 months ago by daniel5457 Subscriber! | Permalink
  • April 18 - paid up!
    Posted 10 months ago by Cantaloupe Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Gotta take March 30th cos it's my bday IRL...... paid by mail
    Posted 10 months ago by Snazzlefrazz Subscriber! | Permalink
  • March 10th! sending money via mail right now.  
    Posted 10 months ago by Airya Subscriber! | Permalink
  • 3/7 and 3/22 paid.
    Posted 10 months ago by justpeace Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I'll take March 1st, 3rd and 4th.

    *Paid
    Posted 10 months ago by FyodorD Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I'll take March 4th
    Posted 10 months ago by Super Jeebs Subscriber! | Permalink
  • March 2nd, since it's my birthday as well
    and... April 6th and 7th
    Sending money now.
    Posted 10 months ago by Ayasta Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I will take Feb 29th, March 1st and March 8th. Just sent 15k currants :D
    Posted 10 months ago by fefee Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I bet 3 times (for March) on March 21st (stoot's bday) - [sent 15K]
    maybe TS team wanna give their boss some awesome bday gift! ;D
    Posted 10 months ago by Saywhat Subscriber! | Permalink
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