Topic

I opened 100+ cubimal boxes for science! (This thread is for posting cubimal rarity and location stats, not for trading or buying cubimals.)

All cubimals were opened from their boxes by me personally.
All Boxes were obtained by vendor (~90%), by rube (~9%) and by golden ticket (1%)
No cubimals were picked up, traded, gifted or otherwise obtained by another player

Here are the results, which I have put NEW UPDATED categories. All values are out of 100.
The original amount and type of cubimals I earned have not been modified, simply re-categorized
_____________________________
COMMON:
Chicks: 18
Butterflies: 16
Pigs: 12
Frogs: 11
Crabs: 10
Batterflies: 8
Fireflies: 8
_____________________________
SEMIRARE:
Cacti: 3
Greeterbots: 3
DustBunnies: 3
JuJus: 2
SnoconeVendors: 2
Smuggler: 1
Deimaginator: 1
Bureaucrat: 0
Squid: 0
_____________________________
RARE
Rube: 1
Helga: 1
Yeti: 0
Mr. Friendly: 0
Gwendolyn: 0
MagicRock: 0
Rook: 0

______________________________

Please note that because 100 is a small sample size, that some cubes marked as rare may be ultra-rare, or vice-versa. Another interesting note is that cubes seem to be vendor-associated:
All three greeterbots came from groddle heights vendor.
Both Jujus came from Kalavana vendor.
Rube came from ilmenskie deep vendor.
Helga came from groddle forest vendor, who also gave me a helga before reset.
Over half my fireflies came from the Mazzala swamp continent. (mirch, chakra, jethimad)
If I recall right, dustbunnies and cacti seemed to come from the Grumbla (north) continent

Any more cubimal statistics information will be *greatly* appreciated!

(It seems more and more likely that location is *not* a factor in what cubes appear where. However, I don't have enough data on individual vendors to confirm this.)

Posted 14 months ago by zZzZzZzZ Subscriber! | Permalink

Replies

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  • Wow, nice research, with more data points we can run a confidence interval to make it statistically valid...wooohooo
    Posted 14 months ago by Xyrem Subscriber! | Permalink
  • So far I've only gotten 3 total Cubimals, all from the Rube: Chick, Crab, and Rube. All three transactions occurred in Chakra Phool.
    Posted 14 months ago by Djabriil Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Xyrem, I'm glad at least one (two) other people in Glitch also get excited about statistical tests. ^_^
    Posted 14 months ago by Helvetiqa Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I've opened at least 100 as well, though my stats differ. I've gotten:

    RARE:
    Cacti: 2
    Greeterbots: 1
    DustBunnies: 1
    JuJus: 0
    SnoconeVendors: 2
    _____________________________
    ULTRA-RARE
    Smuggler: 1
    Deimaginator: 1
    Rube: 0
    Helga: 1
    Mr. Friendly: 2
    Gwendolyn: 0
    Squid: 2
    MagicRock: 0
    Rook: 0
    Beurocrat: 1

    Yeti: 3

    These 7 seem to be the most common:
    Chicks
    Butterflies
    Pigs
    Frogs
    Crabs
    Batterflies
    Fireflies

    I'm still missing Rook, Rube, Magic Rock, and Gwendolyn, if anyone wants to trade I have an extra Yeti and Cactus.
    Posted 14 months ago by Gordon Gekko Subscriber! | Permalink
  • *strokes Bureaucroc cubimal*

    my preciousssssssss
    Posted 14 months ago by Nanookie Subscriber! | Permalink
  • These were my stats before the reset:

     Butterflies 24.66% 55 
     Piggies 23.77% 53 
     Chicks 17.04% 38 
     Batterfly 8.52% 19 
     Crab 8.52% 19 
     Frog 7.17% 16 
     Firefly 6.28% 14 
     Snocone 1.35% 3 
     Cactus 0.90% 2 
     Bureaucrat 0.90% 2 
     Smuggler 0.45% 1 
     Deimaginator 0.45% 1 

    Total: 223  
    Posted 14 months ago by Fleep Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Great info, Vermillion.
    Posted 14 months ago by Natalia Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Thanks! The absolute hardest part about compiling this information was that I couldn't tarnish the results by buying/selling or trading my cubimals. It's really irritating keeping a cubimal bag packed with nothing but chicks! Someone once offered a great trade for a bureaucrat and it took all my strength to turn it down. (Notice the big fat '0' my results have under bureaucrat.)

    Edit: A special thanks also to Gordon Gekko, Fleep, and any other glitch who helps by contributing their cubimal statistics!
    Posted 14 months ago by zZzZzZzZ Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I got a Cubimal Box from the Rube yesterday, which I opened for a Cactus.
    Posted 14 months ago by Toksyuryel Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Since reset, I have gotten all my cubimal boxes from Rube.

    I've received:

    Piggy: 1
    Batterfly: 1
    Crab: 1
    Frog: 3
    Posted 14 months ago by Little Miss Giggles Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I love how so many people keep track of their cubimal results. Here are mine from pre-reset. I have not yet started to indulge post-reset :) 161 purchased, mostly from Alakol but a couple from Kalavana and 42 from gameshow tickets. 203 total and I still was not able to get all of them.

    Piggy 34
    Butterfly 31
    Batterfly 30
    Chick 24
    Firefly 21
    Frog 17
    Crab 14
    Snocone vendor 6
    Juju 4
    Deimaginator 4
    Bureaucrat 3
    Squid 2
    Smuggler 2
    Uncle Friendly 2
    Dustbunny 2
    Greeterbot 2
    Cactus 2
    Gwendolyn 2
    Rube 1
    Posted 14 months ago by MaryLiLamb Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I have opened at least 100 post reset, and have not found Bureaucrat to be rare, perhaps I'm just lucky but I've opened 4 of them.

    I am missing Rook & Greeterbot.

    Willing to trade extras I have (I have extra Cactus, Bureaucrat, Frog, and all the non-rares).  Also willing to pay BIG currant amounts for ones I'm missing.
    Posted 14 months ago by DiscLizard Subscriber! | Permalink
  • This makes me sad. Pre-reset, I had a smuggler, a yeti, and a deimaginator. (and lots of chicks and so forth as well)
    Posted 14 months ago by magic panda Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Oh.. And a rook!
    Posted 14 months ago by magic panda Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I got my first box from the gameshow wheel and decided to try to auction it for the cash...
    Auction expired! :(
    So I figured I might as well open it....
    SQUID!
    Posted 14 months ago by Prophet ð.ð Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I have greeterbot! Need money =P
    Posted 14 months ago by Draugr Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Nice data you got there. Only got 3 myself, and all are the common rarity :(
    Posted 14 months ago by Draron Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Thanks for the info!
    Posted 14 months ago by Serra Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Yay stats! Thanks for this.
    Posted 14 months ago by Susan Sontag Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I'm trying to buy Draugr's Greeterbot Cubimal, it will leave me looking only for the Rook!

    Has anyone even seen a Rook Cubimal since the reset??
    Posted 14 months ago by DiscLizard Subscriber! | Permalink
  • <3
    Posted 14 months ago by Cerulean Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I got de-imaginator 2 out of 2 times. Anyone want to swap?
    Posted 14 months ago by xLIFEx Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Got a second Cubimal Box from the Rube today. Inside was a Frog.
    Posted 14 months ago by Toksyuryel Subscriber! | Permalink
  • COMMON:
    Chicks: 12
    Butterflies: 12
    _____________________________
    UNCOMMON
    Pigs: 12 (why are pigs marked as uncommon?? I can't get away from these buggers!! XD)
    Frogs: 3
    Crabs: 3
    Batterflies: 2
    Fireflies: 2
    _____________________________
    RARE:
    Cacti: 2
    Greeterbots: 0
    DustBunnies: 1
    JuJus: 0
    SnoconeVendors: 1
    _____________________________
    ULTRA-RARE
    Smuggler: 0
    Deimaginator: 3
    Rube: 0
    Helga: 1
    Mr. Friendly: 0
    Gwendolyn: 0
    Squid: 0
    MagicRock: 0
    Rook: 1
    Bureaucrat: 3
    Yeti: 1

    The places I've gotten these:
    *Maybe around 8 from the rube
    *Almost all others from either Marylpole Mount or Hayden Seek (I THINK I've gotten more from Hayden)
    *Two from buying from user auctions

    I unfortunately couldn't tell you where I got my rares. I am fairly certain however that none of my rares came from the rube--none of the ultra rare ones anyway. They were either from Marylpole or Hayden.

    Edit: Wait... my numbers aren't coming out right.... I gave a bunch of my doubles to a friend and I can't remember what I sent over XD I'll edit this again later!
    Posted 14 months ago by Nea Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Before I post this, several things should be known:

    1) Some sample pools were incomplete.
    2) It is unknown (at this time) whether location of purchase affects rarity. Does seem likely.
    3) It is unknown if Cubimals purchased vary in rarity from those given by Rube or Gameshow.
    4) More "incomplete" samples (i.e those given by players who had opened very few Cubimals) were not taken into consideration.
    5) These figures include both pre-reset and post-reset numbers, it is unknown if these rarities would differ by a significant amount.

    6) I round up.  It makes things look pretty.

    7) I have included a % representing what I believe to be the most likely chance to get a Cubimal from a specific category, which is a best-guess based on current sample amounts.

    8) I am very tired, so there may be a number off here or there, but the overall probability of a given category seems valid.

    608 Total Samples
    _____________________________
    COMMON - 52.30%:

    Likely Chance to Draw from Category - 50% (or 1/2)

    Butterflies: 114 - 18.75%
    Pigs: 112 - 18.42%
    Chicks: 92 - 15.13%
    _____________________________
    UNCOMMON - 33.88%:

    Likely Chance to Draw from Category - 33% (or 1/3)

    Batterflies: 60 - 9.87%
    Frogs: 54 - 8.88%
    Crabs: 47 - 7.73%
    Fireflies: 45 - 7.40%
    _____________________________
    RARE - 10.36%:

    Likely Chance to Draw from Category - 10% (or 1/10)

    SnoconeVendors: 14 - 2.30%
    Cacti: 11 - 1.81%
    Deimaginator: 10 - 1.64%
    Bureaucrat: 9 - 1.48%
    DustBunnies: 7 - 1.15%
    Greeterbots: 6 - 0.99%
    JuJus: 6 - 0.99%
    _____________________________
    ULTRA-RARE - 3.95%:

    Likely Chance to Draw from Category - 5% (or 1/20) -or- possible that it is actually 4% (1/25)

    Smuggler: 5 - 0.82%
    Mr. Friendly: 4 - 0.66%
    Squid: 4 - 0.66%
    Yeti: 4 - 0.66%
    Helga: 3 - 0.49%
    Rube: 2 - 0.33%
    Gwendolyn: 2 - 0.33%
    _____________________________
    RAREST ON UR - 0.16%:

    Likely Chance to Draw from Category - 1% (or 1/100)

    Rook: 1 - 0.16%
    MagicRock: 0 - 0.00%

    Edit - The probability of drawing a Rook or Magic Rock was a huge leap on my part.  It is quite possible that, given the current information gathered, the chance to draw one of the two is significantly less than 1%.  However, I don't believe this is true as the probability of 1/100 fits the scheme quite nicely, and would make more sense.  I believe this estimate would be proven given a larger sample size.

    Edit 2 - As with the OP, given the current sample size, some high (or low) items, within a given category, may move up (or down) a category if a larger sample is collected.  Obviously, given the variety of sources, these numbers may not be 100% accurate, HOWEVER, I do still believe the overall probabilities listed (per category) to be accurate at this time.
    Posted 14 months ago by EternaTea Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I will pay 20,000 currants for a Rook Cubimal.
    IM me in game if you've got one to sell.
    Posted 14 months ago by DiscLizard Subscriber! | Permalink
  • All mine came from the Rube prior to his 5 times only trading behaviour change.  I haven't gotten his trade for one of those since - that's the only reason I hate this 5x limit LoL.

    Batterfly - 3
    Chick - 1
    Firefly - 1
    Piggy - 1
    and the first I got after reset...
    DeImaginator - 1  (and I admit with a little chagrin, that I /yay'd IRL when I got it ;p )

    I did notice that I got the piggy from him in Groddle Meadow or Forest, and I thought the Batterflies were all from screens where I was mining, peating, or barnacling.  Although those observations are vague and most likely coincidental.

    It will be a long time before I get serious about them - I don't generally mine for currants, I mine for powders so I am always cash-poor!  Thanks for the statistics I never thought to keep any on mine during beta.

    ~~TJ Fuzzybut
    Posted 14 months ago by Thaddeus J Fuzzybut Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I just opened my first cubimal box and got a Buerocroc!  :-D  

    Is that a good start to a budding collection, or what?  ;-)
      
    Posted 14 months ago by Reba Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I only have one  (that I opened)

    It's Helga and she's sitting in my closet not making me any drinks.
    Posted 14 months ago by shhexy corin Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Somehow, I have opened 3 Bureaucrats. Anybody want to trade? Message me if so, looking for some of the more common cubimals.
    Posted 14 months ago by denki sandwich Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I wanted to mention that I won't be contributing further stats since I've met my goal of 100, and my cubimals are available for trade. IM me if you want to trade for any of my duplicates.

    Additionally, I'd like to thank EternaTea for his excellent compilation and analysis.
    Posted 14 months ago by zZzZzZzZ Subscriber! | Permalink
  • denki, I will trade to you an assortment of common and uncommon cubimals for 1 or 2 of your bureaucrocs!
    Posted 14 months ago by Party Larva Subscriber! | Permalink
  • @ Vermillion

    Thanks for the nod, and thanks for getting this thread started for us =)

    At current, I don't intend to update my post unless somebody provides a rather large sample pool to add to it.  I believe that the info we've gathered provides a fairly accurate idea of what the probability is to get a Cubimal from a given category, so I think we've done our job.

    Later (tomorrow, probably) I intend to see about adding this info to one of the Strategy groups, or to the Wiki.

    I wish there was a way I could subscribe to this thread, so I don't lose track of it/can keep it updated if any major changes occur.  For now, I'll just bookmark it.
    Posted 14 months ago by EternaTea Subscriber! | Permalink
  • data, data, data... yay for data. Soon we'll be ready to do distribution curves...
    Posted 14 months ago by Zurin Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Rube Cubimal Box #3: Piggy
    Posted 14 months ago by Toksyuryel Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Is it just me or does it seem like your very first cubimal has a higher chance of being rare? In beta, my first was a smuggler, and post-reset it was a bureaucrat. Seems to be the same story for many people.

    All I've gotten since the bureaucrat was a chick, piggy, and 4 butterflies. In beta I'd gotten 4-5 bureaucrats and no greeterbots so traded with Vermilion earlier tonight. :) Still working up the dough to start really collecting again.
    Posted 14 months ago by Arya Underfoot Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I only have two, the piggie and the deimaginator. They must not be too rare.
    Posted 14 months ago by Sierra Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Hey, I'm new to the Cubimal thing. I traded Rube for my first, then bought one off a player.

    My first Cubimal Box cam from the vendor in Okara Crast and it was a MagicRock! I might suggest hitting Okara Crast if you're looking for the MagicRock.
    Posted 14 months ago by Skinmonger Subscriber! | Permalink
  • The extras wouldn't be for sale would they?
    I really appreciate his chart.
    Posted 14 months ago by Paxton Subscriber! | Permalink
  • i have only gotten cubimals from rube but i have gotten a

    Frog
    Batterfly
    Firefly
    Piggy
    Greeterbot
    Posted 14 months ago by Karma Subscriber! | Permalink
  • JUST TRY Okara Crast for MagicRock cubi, but got a Chick.   fyi
    Posted 14 months ago by IvanTheTerrible Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Just completed my set!

    The trophy is awesome!
    Posted 14 months ago by DiscLizard Subscriber! | Permalink
  • nvm
    Posted 14 months ago by Gordon Gekko Subscriber! | Permalink
  • @ Skinmonger: Thanks for the location information regarding magic rock! Since it is one of the rarest, other glitches can now test whether or not it appears more frequently at that location than at others. It may still be the case that all locations have equally probable results, however.

    @Paxton: Unfortunately, all of my rare duplicates have been traded or sold. I only have copies of the 7 most common types now. (Pig, Chick, Butterfly, Batterfly, Frog, Crab, Firefly)

    @DiscLizard: Congratulations on your Cubimal Wrangler Trophy!
    Posted 14 months ago by zZzZzZzZ Subscriber! | Permalink
  • All of my cubimals came from the Rube, except two: one was a wheel prize, the other was a trade from a friend.  None have been bought from vendors, or auction.

    Chick - 6
    Piggy - 5
    Firefly - 4 (one was from the wheel)
    Batterfly - 2
    Crab - 2
    Greeterbot - 1
    Gwendolyn - 1
    Magic Rock - 1
    Cactus - 1
    Bureaucroc - 1

    The one I got from a friend was a Butterfly.  Which is not in anyway helpful from a box-opening statistic standpoint, but I thought I would mention it.  He said he got it from the wheel, though.

    So, that's 24 Rube-acquired cubimals for me so far, and lots of variety in the beginning (right after reset).  The last couple days my cubimal collecting has been slower than in the beginning because of the changes to Rube (only got three from him since then: Piggy, Crab, and Chick).  Not a very large sample, but I thought I'd post my results so far anyway, in case anyone wanted to see another list.

    As for trades, I only have 3 chicks and 1 firefly left, because I share cubimals with a friend when I get extras.  If anyone would like to trade, friend me and let me know. ^_^

    Last updated: 10/19
    Posted 14 months ago by Gant Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I'll pay 30,000 Currants each for the Magic Rock or Rube. I'll pay 15k for Gwendolyn.
    Posted 14 months ago by Gordon Gekko Subscriber! | Permalink
  • bump --interesting topic is otherwise lost...
    Posted 14 months ago by ♠Tulip♠ Subscriber! | Permalink
  • Love this thread. New to Cubimals. I got a Magic Rock cubimal today at Sambara Stack.
    Posted 14 months ago by Bunny McFadden Subscriber! | Permalink
  • How on earth do you corner the Rube so many times? I've only gotten him once, and not for a cubimal.
    Posted 14 months ago by Widdershins Subscriber! | Permalink
  • I'm glad you asked, Widdershins! You see, I run a deep underground rube-work facility in the peat bogs where I force them to labor tirelessly to feed my cubimal-box addiction. Need proof? Here are two unlucky rubes who made it to the surface and almost got away until I cornered them in Somewhat Sump.
    Posted 14 months ago by zZzZzZzZ Subscriber! | Permalink
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