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### Topic

#### Double your chances at seeing the Rube!

but 2 x 0 = 0! Sucker! This upgrade doesn't seem to work for me.

Posted 7 months ago by Rennie | Permalink

### Replies

- Either 0 or the chances are insanely low. I haven't seen Rube once since the update.
  Posted 7 months ago by Silhouette | Permalink
- Ditto. I bought that upgrade and haven 't seen him once.
  Stoopid Rube :(
  Posted 7 months ago by Clarabelle | Permalink
- I agree. I only see Rube when I use essence and I'm exploring a lot those days to gather resources and even though I do that I don't see Rube!
  And also that Rube's favorite doesn't work. He still offers me lots of crap. >_<"
  Posted 7 months ago by Lila Clemenceau | Permalink
- Twice for me, once Friday, once this morning. So at least I can promise he isn't on vacation.
  Posted 7 months ago by Quack Macallan | Permalink
- I saw him 3 times within my first 30 minutes after the update. Then I bought the upgrade and haven't seen him since
  Posted 7 months ago by Kalmiopsis | Permalink
- I saw him at least 6 times in the week before the update and after the update I've seen him at least once every other game day. Since the upgrade I've only seen him once though.
  Posted 7 months ago by spotlightgirl | Permalink
- I c rube alot!!! im suprised about this, though i know that the Cheap upgrade didnt work -.-
  Posted 7 months ago by Taco Assassin | Permalink
- I've seen him more times then I have before since buying two of the rube upgrade cards but now his offers are even more cheap and ridiculous.
  Posted 7 months ago by Polly Nomial | Permalink
- I seem to be alone in having barely seen the rube for months before the upgrade then seen him 3 times since and got a grand ol grinder, a spice bean and a crystalmialising chamber...
  Posted 7 months ago by geekybird | Permalink
- And whenever I do see him he's there for someone else. I wish he would stop crashing parties where lots of people get together for specific reasons. Its annoying.
  Posted 7 months ago by Treesa | Permalink
- Thought it was just me. I have the Rube Radar card and haven't seen him once since buying it. Before, it was happening a bit too often, but this is kind of ridiculous.
  Posted 7 months ago by Jarhaven | Permalink
- I have definitely seen the Rube a few times! Keep on playin'!
  Posted 7 months ago by Branfowl | Permalink
- It's random, y'all. If there was a 1% chance you'd see him on a street and it was boosted to 2%, you won't see much difference over a short period of time (or, possibly, ever). You can flip a coin 100 times and get heads every time but that doesn't affect how likely it is for it to come up tails next time.
  Short-term personal experience doesn't mean that it did or didn't work.
  Posted 7 months ago by Credulous Ralph | Permalink
- Credulous, if you had a way to increase the chance of seeing heads, that does affect how likely it is for it to come up again. That is what the card is supposed to do. It can't be fully random if you can increase the likelihood.
  Posted 7 months ago by Clark Griswald | Permalink
- Clark, that's correct, but it doesn't matter. Imagine a regular cube-shaped six-sided die. It starts with 1 2 3 4 5 6 on the sides. Let's say the Rube comes when you roll a 6. You roll it 10 times and this is the random result:
  3 4 1 1 6 4 5 1 3 3
  The Rube came one time, OK!
  Now you get an upgrade so now it says 1 2 3 4 6 6. You roll it 10 times and this is the random result:
  2 4 3 3 4 1 2 1 4 3
  Aw man, no Rube! But I upgraded, what the heck?
  It seems like the upgrade didn't work, but it's random. Just because your odds are now better doesn't mean you're going to have it come up more in a short period of time. I swear, that's how randomness works.
  Posted 7 months ago by Credulous Ralph | Permalink
- Ralph wins the Internet.
  Posted 7 months ago by HeyGabe | Permalink
- He does have a point.....
  Posted 7 months ago by Hersche | Permalink
- No, because we do not know what the chance of seeing the rube was to begin with.
  In your dice analogy it is like having no idea how many sides the die has. Maybe it has 6 sides or 100 sides or 1,000 sides. So what if the upgrade now has the number 6 appear twice instead of once? Who cares if your odds are now 2 out of a hundred or 2 out of a thousand?
  This is the issue I tried to explain before in this post: http://www.glitch.com/forum/general/20347/213383/
  The point is that if one or more of the variables is unknown then you can never get a meaningful solution. We have no way to evaluate the true worth of most of the upgrades because we either can't see what we had to begin with or are not told what the increase is. It is like trying to decide which is better: 50% of a lot or a little more than 10.
  The upgrades are so vague that I don't see any point in trying to analyze them. I think we should just take them in the spirit of the quirkiness of Glitch and just have fun with them.
  Posted 7 months ago by Miss Bobbit | Permalink
- But it has a number of sides. It may have had 1,000 sides and now your odds are 2 in 1,000, but they're still doubled. Doubling still has a meaning, even if we don't what's being doubled.
  Posted 7 months ago by Credulous Ralph | Permalink
- 2x0...
  Posted 7 months ago by Clark Griswald | Permalink
- Lately, he only comes to see me as I'm about to die! I appreciate his considerateness, I guess.
  Posted 7 months ago by Deely | Permalink
- I see rube about the same as before. Barely. But I suppose 0.01% vs 0.02% are not going to make a difference in how often I notice it XD
  Posted 7 months ago by Omnika | Permalink
- I've seen the Rube 8 times since the foxes were released. 4 of those times were since I got my Rube cards (in the past week). I had seen him 2 times in the entire month prior to the fox release.
  Posted 7 months ago by foolbunny | Permalink
- I've only got him the regular way once in the last like 3 months, but I got lot's of essences of rubeweed, so I usually have to use those.... :/
  Posted 7 months ago by RJStormRider | Permalink
- That Rube really REALLY loves me now but mostly when I'm nostalgiasizing in the Ancestral Lands?
  o.O
  It do get rawther nervewracking when Ju-Ju's have been sighted!
  O.o
  Posted 7 months ago by Poney Tails | Permalink
- Just make tinctures.
  Posted 7 months ago by Volkov | Permalink
- Personally I'm seeing him a lot more. Basically when I'm out harvesting etc, switching streets a lot.
  Posted 7 months ago by diaveborn ♥ | Permalink
- Indeed, Poney Tails speaks the truth.
  It seems like I see the little guy all the time now... When I'm trying to run as fast as I can through the Ancestral Lands!!!
  Posted 7 months ago by DUG1138 | Permalink
- LOL Dug1138, makes for a "hare" raising experience...
  (love it!!)
  Posted 7 months ago by Poney Tails | Permalink